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02.10.2003 – 12:31

BP plc

euro adhoc: BP PLC

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                                            press release  
October 2, 2003


This trading update is aimed at providing an overview of the revenue and trading conditions experienced by BP during the third quarter ending September 30, 2003. The third quarter margin, price, realisation, cost, production and other data referred to below are currently provisional, some being drawn from figures applicable to the first month or so of the quarter. All such data are subject to change and may differ quite considerably from the final numbers that will be reported on October 28, 2003. The statement is produced in order to provide greater disclosure to investors and potential investors of currently expected outcomes, and to ensure that they all receive equal access to the same information at the same time.

Exploration and Production

Marker prices

                                                      3Q'03      2Q'03      1Q'03      3Q'02  
  Brent dated ($/bbl)                    28.38      26.03      31.49      26.91  
  WTI ($/bbl)                                 30.19      29.02      34.00      28.26  
  ANS USWC ($/bbl)                         28.83      27.04      33.17      27.26  
  US gas Henry Hub first of          4.97        5.40        6.58        3.16    
  month index ($/mmbtu)                                                                        
  UK gas price - National              15.08      17.44      21.37      12.74  
  Balancing Point (p/therm)                                                                

Compared to 2Q'03, liquid realisations are expected to move broadly in line with the change in marker prices. Compared to 2Q'03, the Henry Hub gas marker price is expected to decrease by $0.43/mmbtu. However, US gas realisations are expected to decrease by a smaller amount due to a narrowing of basin differentials. As indicated at the time of our 2Q results on July 29, the impact of divestments on reported production is increasing as deals are completed. However, compared with 3Q'02, the increase in our Russian production following completion of the TNK-BP deal on August 29 is expected to broadly offset divestments.

Gas, Power and Renewables

Gas marketing margins are expected to be down on 2Q'03 with lower results in North America partially offset by continued strength in LNG. NGL margins are anticipated to be higher than 2Q'03 in line with normal seasonality

Refining and Marketing  

Refining Indicator Margins ($/bbl)

                                                    3Q'03        2Q'03      1Q'03      3Q'02  
  - West Coast                                 9.04        6.34        6.77        3.54  
  - Gulf Coast                                 5.61        3.59        6.14        1.82  
  - Midwest                                      6.39        4.73        4.14        3.27  
  North West Europe                         2.47        2.14        3.70        1.28  
  Singapore                                      1.27        0.66        2.98        0.47  
  Refining Global Indicator            4.58        3.27        4.52        1.98  
  Margin* ($/bbl.)                                                                                

*The refining Global Indicator Margin(GIM) is a weighted average based on BP's portfolio. Actual margins may vary because of refinery configuration, crude slate and operating practices.

3Q'03 refining margins are expected to be higher than 2Q'03, particularly in the US, and similar to the overall margin environment of 1Q'03. 3Q'03 saw a number of refinery and infrastructure outages which coincided with an upturn in gasoline demand. Higher utility costs and adverse foreign exchange effects are expected to partially offset these higher margins. The 3Q'03 marketing environment is expected to be considerably less favorable than in the second quarter, and similar to the 1Q'03 level.


Weighted Chemicals Indicator Margin ($/te)

3Q'03      2Q'03 est.      1Q'03      3Q'02  
n/a         120                 96          120      

*The Chemicals Indicator Margin is a weighted average of externally-based product margins. It is based on market data collected by Nextant (formerly Chem Systems) in their quarterly market analyses, then weighted on BP's product portfolio. This is described more fully in the Group's quarterly results releases.  

Petrochemical margins in 3Q'03 are expected to be below 1Q'03 and substantially reduced versus 2Q'03, particularly in Europe, due to higher feedstock prices and continued high energy costs.

Stock Purchases        

There were no stock purchases during the quarter. Shares in issue as at October 26, 2003 were 22,108 million.

                                                  - ENDS -

                              This information is provided by RNS
          The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

end of announcement            euro adhoc 02.10.2003

Further inquiry note: BP PLC Jude Tomalin 020 7496 4062

Branche: Energy
ISIN:      GB0007980591
WKN:        850517
Börsen:  Hamburger Wertpapierbörse / official dealing
              Börse Düsseldorf / official dealing
              Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse / official dealing
              SWX Swiss Exchange / official dealing
              London Stock Exchange / official dealing
              Niedersächsische Börse zu Hannover / free trade
              Berliner Wertpapierbörse / free trade
              Bayerische Börse / free trade
              Baden-Württembergische Wertpapierbörse / free trade